[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

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Hurricane Ian Local Statement Advisory Number 18
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL  AL092022
1132 AM EDT Tue Sep 27 2022

This product covers Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia

...STORM SURGE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF
OUR AREA...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Storm Surge Watch has been upgraded to a Storm Surge Warning
      and the Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a  Tropical
      Storm Warning for Coastal Duval, Coastal Nassau, Coastal St.
      Johns, Eastern Clay, Eastern Putnam, Inland St. Johns, and South
      Central Duval
    - The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
      Warning for Central Marion, Coastal Camden, Coastal Flagler,
      Coastal Glynn, Eastern Marion, Inland Flagler, Trout River,
      Western Clay, Western Duval, Western Marion, and Western Putnam
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Baker, Brantley,
      Inland Camden, Inland Glynn, Inland Nassau, Northeastern
      Charlton, Union, Wayne, and Western Charlton

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Coastal Duval, Coastal Nassau, Coastal St. Johns, Eastern
      Clay, Eastern Putnam, Inland St. Johns, and South Central Duval
    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
      for Coastal Camden, Coastal Flagler, and Coastal Glynn
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Central Marion,
      Eastern Marion, Inland Flagler, Trout River, Western Clay,
      Western Duval, Western Marion, and Western Putnam
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Baker, Bradford,
      Brantley, Eastern Alachua, Gilchrist, Inland Camden, Inland
      Glynn, Inland Nassau, Northeastern Charlton, Union, Wayne,
      Western Alachua, and Western Charlton

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 530 miles south-southwest of Jacksonville FL or about 430
      miles south of Ocala FL
    - 23.0N 83.5W
    - Storm Intensity 115 mph
    - Movement North or 5 degrees at 10 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Major Hurricane Ian, located near 23.0 north, 83.5 west at 11 AM EDT
this morning, will continue to move northward today, and then is
forecast to track north northeastward tonight and Wednesday.

On this track, Ian is forecast to traverse the southeastern Gulf of
Mexico tonight and Wednesday and approach the west coast of Florida
by Wednesday evening. Maximum winds are currently near 115 mph
with higher gusts.

A tropical storm warning and a storm surge warning have been
issued for the entire northeast Florida coast and the entire St.
Johns River basin.  A tropical storm warning is in effect for
coastal Glynn, coastal Camden, and coastal Nassau counties. A
tropical storm warning is in effect for Duval, Clay, St. Johns,
Flagler, Putnam, and Marion Counties. A tropical storm watch has
been issued for Wayne, inland Glynn, inland Camden, Brantley, inland
Nassau, Baker, Charlton, Union, Bradford, Alachua, and Gilchrist
counties.

The start of tropical storm winds may begin as early as Wednesday
night across north central Florida, by Thursday morning across
northeast Florida and coastal southeast Georgia, and Thursday
evening across portions of inland southeast Georgia.

Increasing rain chances are expected late tonight and Wednesday from
south to north, with more rain and rain squalls and possibly
embedded thunderstorms occurring Wednesday night through Friday.
Heavy rainfall and possible flooding is to be expected, and a Flood
Watch has been issued for north central and portions of northeast
Florida.

There is a concern for isolated tornadoes across parts of northeast
and north central Florida from Wednesday evening through at least
Thursday evening.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across coastal southeast Georgia, coastal northeast Florida,
and the St. Johns River basin. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across coastal southeast Georgia, coastal northeast Florida,
and the St. Johns River basin.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across northeast Florida, north central Florida, and
southeast Georgia. Potential impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
      become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
      become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible limited
to significant impacts across northeast Florida, north central Florida,
and southeast Georgia.

* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive impacts
across portions of northeast Florida, north central Florida, and
southeast Georgia. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
      window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
      damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
      Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
      uninhabitable for weeks.
    - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
      roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and
      access routes impassable.
    - Large areas with power and communications outages.

Also, protect against dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across northeast Florida, north central Florida,
and southeast Georgia.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia. Potential impacts
include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

WATCH/WARNING PHASE - For those not under evacuation orders, assess
the risk from wind, falling trees, and flooding at your location. If
you decide to move, relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do
not relocate, help keep roadways open for those under evacuation
orders.

WATCH/WARNING PHASE - If evacuating, leave with a destination in mind
and allow extra time to get there. Take your emergency supplies kit.
Gas up your vehicle ahead of time.

WATCH/WARNING PHASE - Let others know where you are going prior to
departure. Secure loose items and pets in the car, and avoid
distracted driving.

WATCH/WARNING PHASE - If evacuating, follow designated evacuation
routes. Seek traffic information on roadway signs, the radio, and
from official sources.

IMMINENT/ONGOING PHASE - Do not enter evacuated areas until officials
have given the all clear to return.

RECOVERY PHASE - Do not enter evacuated areas until officials have
given the all clear to return.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are relocating to safe shelter, leave as early as possible.
Allow extra time to reach your destination. Many roads and bridges
will be closed once strong winds arrive. Check the latest weather
forecast before departing and drive with caution.

If heading to a community shelter, become familiar with the shelter
rules before arrival, especially if you have special needs or have
pets. Take essential items with you from your Emergency Supplies Kit.

Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any
orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency
Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are
unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.

Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles
can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly
ventilated area.

It is important to remain calm, informed, and focused during an
emergency. Be patient and helpful with those you encounter.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.

Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Jacksonville FL around 5 PM, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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