[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Sep 23 21:53:28 CDT 2022


WTNT32 KNHC 240253
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Fiona Advisory Number  39
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072022
1100 PM AST Fri Sep 23 2022

...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS SPREADING OVER NOVA SCOTIA AS
FIONA NEARS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...44.5N 60.8W
ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM E OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 46 MPH...74 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...933 MB...27.55 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Nova Scotia from Hubbards to Brule
* Prince Edward Island
* Isle-de-la-Madeleine
* Newfoundland from Parson's Pond to Francois

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* St. Andrews New Brunswick to west of Hubbards Nova Scotia
* West of Brule Nova Scotia to Cap Madeleine Quebec
* Anticosti Island
* Sheldrake Quebec to north of Parson's Pond Newfoundland
* Boat Harbor to Hare Bay Newfoundland
* Francois to St Lawrence Newfoundland

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North of Boat Harbor Newfoundland to West Bay Labrador

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Fiona
was located near latitude 44.5 North, longitude 60.8 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north near 46 mph (74
km/h).  A slower north-northeast or northward motion is expected
through Sunday.  On the forecast track, the center of Fiona will
move across eastern Nova Scotia overnight and into the Gulf of St.
Lawrence on Saturday morning, and then move across Labrador and
over the Labrador Sea on Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Although gradual weakening is forecast during the next
couple of days, Fiona is expected to maintain hurricane-force winds
through Saturday morning.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345
miles (555 km).  A wind gust to 88 mph (141 km/h) was recently
observed at Beaver Island, Nova Scotia.

The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Hurricane
Hunter observations is 933 mb (27.55 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Fiona can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.

WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected to begin in portions of the
hurricane warning area in Canada within the next few hours.
Tropical storm conditions are occurring in portions of the
tropical storm warning area in Canada.  Tropical storm conditions
are possible in the watch area in Labrador on Sunday.

RAINFALL:  Fiona is forecast to produce the following rainfall:

Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, and western Newfoundland: 3 to 6
inches (75 to 150 mm), with local maxima of up to 10 inches (250
mm). Flooding is expected, some of which could be significant.

Labrador and eastern Quebec:  2 to 5 inches (50 to 125 mm).

Eastern New Brunswick: 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm).

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal
flooding within the warning areas in Atlantic Canada in areas of
onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by
large and destructive waves.

SURF:  Swells generated by Fiona are affecting Atlantic Canada, the
eastern United States coast, Bermuda, and the northwestern Bahamas.
The swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch
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