[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Sep 20 06:34:16 CDT 2022


ABNT20 KNHC 201134
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 20 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Fiona, located near the Turks and Caicos islands.

Central Subtropical Atlantic:
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to become better
organized in association with an area of low pressure located over
the central subtropical Atlantic, about 950 miles west-southwest of
the westernmost Azores.   Environmental conditions appear marginally
favorable for additional development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form within the next day or so before upper-level winds
become less conducive later this week.  The system should move
generally northward or northeastward while remaining over the open
waters of central subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Windward
Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms while moving westward at 15-20 mph.  Gradual
development of this system is forecast during the next several days
as the system approaches the Windward Islands, and a tropical
depression could form by the latter part of this week as the system
moves into the eastern and central Caribbean sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci
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