[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT32 KNHC 190855
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fiona Advisory Number  20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072022
500 AM AST Mon Sep 19 2022

...HURRICANE CONDITIONS SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND CATASTROPHIC FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF
PUERTO RICO...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.5N 68.6W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM WSW OF PUNTA CANA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Hurricane Warning for Puerto Rico, including Vieques and
Culebra, has been changed to a Tropical Storm Warning.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* The coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Caucedo to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Turks and Caicos

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Frances Viejo
westward to Puerto Plata

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Puerto Rico, including Vieques and Culebra
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Frances Viejo
westward to Puerto Plata
* Southeastern Bahamas, including the Acklins, Crooked Island, Long
Cay, the Inaguas, Mayaguana, and the Ragged Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* South coast of the Dominican Republic west of Cabo Caucedo to
Barahona

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fiona was located
near latitude 18.5 North, longitude 68.6 West. Fiona is moving
toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). This general motion is
expected to continue through tonight, followed by a turn toward the
north-northwest on Tuesday and the north on Wednesday. On the
forecast track, the center of Fiona will move over the eastern
portion of the Dominican Republic this morning and emerge over the
southwestern Atlantic this afternoon. The center is forecast to pass
near or to the east of the Turks and Caicos on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is expected during the next few days after
the hurricane emerges over the southwestern Atlantic, and Fiona is
forecast to become a major hurricane by Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km). The Punta Cana International Airport recently reported a
sustained wind of 58 mph (93 km/h) and a gust of 78 mph (126 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb (28.85 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Hurricane Fiona can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header
WTNT42 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are occurring in portions of the eastern
Dominican Republic within the warning area, and are expected in the
Turks and Caicos on Tuesday. Hurricane conditions are possible
within the hurricane watch area in the Dominican Republic later
today.

Tropical storm conditions will continue on portions of Puerto Rico
this morning, and over portions of the Dominican Republic within the
warning areas through today. Tropical storm conditions are expected
in portions of the southeastern Bahamas by early Tuesday. Tropical
storm conditions are possible across the watch area in the Dominican
Republic today.

RAINFALL:  Fiona is forecast to produce the following rainfall:

British and U.S. Virgin Islands: Additional 1 to 2 inches. Storm
Total up to 10 inches on St. Croix.

Southern Puerto Rico: Additional 4 to 6 inches with local maximum of
10 inches. Storm Total 12 to 20 inches with local maximum of 30
inches.

Northern Puerto Rico: Additional 1 to 4 inches with local maximum of
6 inches. Storm Total 4 to 12 inches with local maximum of 20
inches.

Northern and Eastern Dominican Republic: Additional 4 to 6 inches
with local maximum of 8 inches. Storm Total up to 15 inches in the
eastern section.

Rest of Dominican Republic and Haiti: 1 to 4 inches.

Turks and Caicos: 4 to 8 inches.

Southeast Bahamas: 1 to 3 inches.

These rains will continue to produce life-threatening and
catastrophic flooding along with mudslides and landslides across
Puerto Rico. Life-threatening flash and urban flooding is likely for
eastern portions of the Dominican Republic.

STORM SURGE:  The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline.

Localized coastal flooding remains possible along the southern coast
of Puerto Rico.  For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

Storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 3 to 5 feet above
normal tide levels along the immediate coast in areas of onshore
winds in the Dominican Republic.

Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above
normal tide levels along the immediate coast in areas of onshore
winds in the Turks and Caicos Monday night into Tuesday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Fiona are affecting the Virgin Islands,
Puerto Rico, the northern coast of the Dominican Republic, the Turks
and Caicos Islands, and the southeastern Bahamas. These swells will
continue to spread westward across the southwestern Atlantic toward
the central and northwestern Bahamas and the east coast of the
United States through midweek. These conditions could cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart
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