[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 091149
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 9 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Earl, located a couple of hundred miles east-northeast of Bermuda.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
A gale-force low pressure system is located about 1100 miles east of
the Leeward Islands. Although the low has a well-defined center of
circulation, strong upper-level winds have caused most of the
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the
low to be displaced well to its northeast. The strong upper-level
winds are forecast to persist for the next several days and it is
becoming less likely that a short-lived tropical storm will form.
Regardless of development, the disturbance is forecast to move
generally west-northwestward near 15 mph across the central
subtropical Atlantic. For more information on this system, including
gale warnings, please refer to the High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south of the Cabo
Verde Islands is producing a disorganized area of showers and
thunderstorms.  Development of this system, if any, is expected to
be slow to occur while it moves westward or west-northwestward at
15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic
through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Near the Coast of Africa:
Another tropical wave is forecast to move off the coast of Africa
by early next week. Some gradual development of the wave will be
possible after it moves over water and heads generally westward
over the far eastern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net