[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT31 KNHC 082357
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Earl Intermediate Advisory Number 24A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062022
800 PM AST Thu Sep 08 2022

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN BERMUDA SOON...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.6N 64.3W
ABOUT 120 MI...170 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case this evening.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case later
today and tonight.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Earl was located
near latitude 30.6 North, longitude 64.3 West. Earl is moving toward
the north-northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h),and an increase in
forward speed is expected tonight, with a turn toward the northeast
tomorrow.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated be to near 100 mph (155 km/h)
with higher gusts. Strengthening is still possible and Earl could
become a major hurricane by tomorrow. Thereafter, some weakening and
transition into a powerful extratropical cyclone is forecast on
Saturday.

Hurricane-force winds extending outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extending outward up to
185 miles (295 km).

The latest minimum central pressure measured by the NOAA Hurricane
Hunters is 962 mb (28.41 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Earl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda beginning
this evening.  Hurricane conditions are possible on Bermuda
overnight.

RAINFALL:  Earl is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 3
inches (25 to 75 mm) across Bermuda through Friday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Earl are building near Bermuda and are
expected to reach the U.S. east coast tonight. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions
through the weekend.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Bucci/Pasch
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