[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 252336
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Oct 25 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northwestern Atlantic:
Shower and thunderstorm activity remains limited in association
with an area of low pressure located about 150 miles north of
Bermuda. The low is accelerating northward towards cooler waters
and into an area of strong upper-level winds, and development is
looking increasingly unlikely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Southwestern Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure stretching from the central Caribbean
northward to the southwestern Atlantic is producing a broad area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for some gradual subtropical development of this
system over the next few days while it drifts north-northeastward.
The system is then forecast to meander over the subtropical western
Atlantic to the west or southwest of Bermuda. Upper-level winds
are forecast to become less conducive for development by the end of
the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Eastern Caribbean:
An area of low pressure could form over the eastern Caribbean Sea by
early this weekend. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for gradual development as the low moves generally
westward or west-northwestward into the central Caribbean by the end
of the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin
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