[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 060536
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Oct 6 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Twelve, located several hundred miles west-northwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands.

Southeastern Caribbean Sea:
An area of low pressure located over the far southeastern Caribbean
Sea is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms over the
southern Windward Islands, northern South America, and adjacent
waters.  Satellite-derived wind data indicate that this system does
not yet have a well-defined center of circulation.  While land
interaction with the northern coast of South America may hinder
significant development during the next day or so, environmental
conditions are expected to be mostly conducive for development as
the system moves generally westward, and a tropical depression is
likely to form in the next couple of days by the time the system
enters the south-central Caribbean Sea.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall with localized flooding,
as well as gusty winds to gale force, are expected over portions of
the Windward Islands, northern portions of Venezuela including
Isla Margarita, and the ABC Islands during the next day or two.
Interests in those locations, in addition to those in Central
America, should continue to monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

&&
Key messages for the disturbance over the far southeastern Caribbean
Sea can be found on the National Hurricane Center website at
www.hurricanes.gov

$$
Forecaster Pasch
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