[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Thu Nov 10 09:17:24 CST 2022

WTUS82 KJAX 101517
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Tropical Storm Nicole Local Statement Advisory Number 14
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL  AL172022
1017 AM EST Thu Nov 10 2022

This product covers Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia

**LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE OCCURRING ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
 SOUTHEAST GEORGIA**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Coastal Camden, Coastal Duval, Coastal Flagler, Coastal
      Glynn, Coastal Nassau, Coastal St. Johns, Eastern Clay, Eastern
      Putnam, Inland St. Johns, South Central Duval, and Trout River
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Appling, Atkinson,
      Bacon, Baker, Bradford, Brantley, Central Marion, Clinch,
      Coffee, Eastern Alachua, Eastern Marion, Echols, Gilchrist,
      Hamilton, Inland Camden, Inland Flagler, Inland Glynn, Inland
      Nassau, Jeff Davis, Northeastern Charlton, Northern Columbia,
      Northern Ware, Pierce, Southern Columbia, Southern Ware,
      Suwannee, Union, Wayne, Western Alachua, Western Charlton,
      Western Clay, Western Duval, Western Marion, and Western Putnam

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 160 miles south-southwest of Jacksonville FL or about 70
      miles south of Ocala FL
    - 28.2N 82.2W
    - Storm Intensity 50 mph
    - Movement West-northwest or 295 degrees at 16 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Nicole was tracking west-northwest across central
Florida late this morning and will be  nearing Apalachee Bay this
afternoon. A more northward track is expected tonight into Friday as
the storm tracks across southeast Georgia. Remain sheltered today and
tonight as Nicole impacts northeast Florida and southeast Georgia.

Life-threatening storm surge inundation will occur today along the
local Atlantic Coast, Intracoastal Waterway and within the St. Johns
River basin. Tropical-storm-force winds will continue along the local
Atlantic coast as tropical-storm-force wind gusts expand across inland
northeast Florida and southeast Georgia into this evening. The local
tornado threat will increase through sunrise along the northeast
Florida Atlantic coast and extend northward across coastal southeast
Georgia into the afternoon. Bands of heavy rainfall will bring a
localized flooding rainfall threat to coastal northeast Florida and
areas near the St. Johns River basin. Extremely dangerous coastal
hazards including destructive surf and frequent rip currents will
continue today and persist through Friday.

A tropical storm warning is in effect for all of the area. Storm surge
warnings are in effect for the local Atlantic coast, Intracoastal
Waterway and the St. Johns River basin. A flood watch is in effect for
coastal northeast Florida and locations within the St. Johns River
basin.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
coastal northeast Florida, coastal southeast Georgia, Intracoastal
Waterways, and the St. Johns River Basin. Remain well away from life-
threatening surge having additional significant impacts. If realized,
these impacts include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding with today's
high tide cycle.

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia. Remain well sheltered from
hazardous wind having additional limited impacts. If realized, these
impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia. Remain well guarded against
dangerous flood waters having additional significant impacts. If
realized, these impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across coastal
areas extending inland toward the Highway 301 corridor. Remain well
braced against a dangerous tornado event having additional significant
impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
    - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
      homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
      uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
      Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
IMMINENT/ONGOING PHASE - Do not enter evacuated areas until officials
have given the all clear to return.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for
updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a battery-
powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.

If you are prone to flooding or in an area under a storm surge watch
or warning, be prepared for the possibility of a quick and dramatic
rise in water levels.

If a tornado warning is issued for your area, quickly move to the
safest place within your shelter. Protect your head and body.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Jacksonville FL around 430 PM EST, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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