[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT32 KNHC 020857
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bonnie Advisory Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022022
400 AM CDT Sat Jul 02 2022

...BONNIE NOW OVER LAKE NICARAGUA...
...FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS
OF NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA THROUGH THE DAY...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.3N 85.1W
ABOUT 45 MI...85 KM NE OF LIBERIA COSTA RICA
ABOUT 90 MI...165 KM SE OF MANAGUA NICARAGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Limon Costa Rica northward to Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua
* Cabo Blanco Costa Rica northward to the border of Nicaragua and
Honduras

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
6 to 12 hours.

Interests along the Pacific coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala, and
southern Mexico should monitor the progress of Bonnie.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bonnie was
located near latitude 11.3 North, longitude 85.1 West. Bonnie is
moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and a continued
westward motion with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected
later today.  A west-northwestward motion is expected to begin
tonight or on Sunday and continue into Tuesday.  On the forecast
track, Bonnie will move across Lake Nicaragua during the next
several hours and emerge over the eastern Pacific Ocean later this
morning.  Bonnie will then move offshore of but parallel to the
coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southern Mexico today through
Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast after Bonnie emerges
over the eastern Pacific later today and should continue through
Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Bonnie can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO
header WTNT42 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Bonnie will continue to produce heavy rain across portions
of Nicaragua and Costa Rica through today. The following storm total
rainfall amounts are expected:

Nicaragua and Costa Rica: 4 to 8 inches, localized 12 inches. This
rainfall is expected to result in life-threatening flash flooding
and mudslides.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are occurring in the Tropical
Storm Warning area along the Caribbean coasts of Nicaragua and
Costa Rica, and these will continue to spread westward to the
Pacific coast within the warning areas during the next few hours.

STORM SURGE: Water levels are expected to subside along the
Caribbean coast of Nicaragua later this morning.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

The intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT will be issued under
Atlantic AWIPS header MIATCPAT2 and WMO header WTNT32 KNHC.

The next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT will be issued as an
Eastern North Pacific Public Advisory under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4
and WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC.

$$
Forecaster Papin
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