[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 281133
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 28 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Sam, located several hundred miles east of the northern Leeward
Islands.

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest
of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce an area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form during the next couple of days while the system
moves westward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the
central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in
association with a tropical wave and broad area of low pressure
located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.  Environmental
conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression
is likely to form in a day or two while the disturbance moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the eastern tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A well-defined low pressure area associated with the remnants
of Peter is located about 350 miles east-northeast of Bermuda. The
associated showers and thunderstorms have increased a little this
morning, but are still not well organized.  This system could become
a short-lived tropical depression while moving northeastward at
about 10 mph before upper-level winds increase on Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net