[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 262339
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Sep 26 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Sam, located several hundred miles east of Lesser Antilles.

Showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized
today in association with a surface trough (the remnants of
Peter) located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda.
Upper-level winds are marginally conducive for further
development, and Peter could become a tropical depression again
during the next couple of days while it moves northeastward at
about 10 mph. By midweek, environmental conditions are expected to
become unfavorable for further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on
Monday.  Upper-level winds are forecast to be conducive for gradual
development thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to
form in a few days while the system moves westward to west-
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the far eastern tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A broad area of low pressure appears to be be forming several
hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.  Environmental
conditions are forecast to support further development of this
disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form around
midweek while it moves westward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake
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