[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS84 KLCH 141006
HLSLCH
LAZ073-074-TXZ201-215-216-141815-

Tropical Storm Nicholas Local Statement Advisory Number 9
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA  AL142021
506 AM CDT Tue Sep 14 2021

This product covers Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas

**NICHOLAS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS ACROSS THE DEEP
SOUTH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for West Cameron

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Hardin and Orange
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Jefferson
    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
      for West Cameron

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 140 miles west-southwest of Cameron LA or about 110 miles
      west-southwest of Port Arthur TX
    - 29.3N 95.6W
    - Storm Intensity 70 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 25 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nicholas was
located near latitude 29.3 North, longitude 95.6 West. Nicholas is
moving toward the north-northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h).  The storm
should move more slowly to the northeast later today and then
eastward by Wednesday over Louisiana.  Little motion is anticipated
on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Nicholas should weaken further today and is
forecast to become a tropical depression by Wednesday.

The threat of heavy rain will persist far ahead of where the center
made landfall. Heavy rain will be a continued possibility from
the overnight through at least the middle of the week for southeast Texas
and portions of southwest Louisiana.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
Jefferson County. Remain well guarded against life-threatening flood
waters having possible devastating impacts. If realized, these impacts
include:
    - Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their banks
      in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks,
      canals, and ditches may become raging rivers. Flood control
      systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover escape
      routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water
      with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become very
      dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures with some weakened
      or washed out.

Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
 the remainder of southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana. Remain well
guarded against life-threatening flood waters having possible
extensive impacts.

* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
the coastline from High Island to Rutherford Beach. Remain well away
from life-threatening surge having possible significant impacts. If
realized, these impacts include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to non-elevated structures is possible.
    - Sections of escape routes and secondary roads become weakened
      or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, and piers. Several small
      craft broken away from moorings, especially in unprotected
      anchorages.

Potential impacts from the main surge event are also now unfolding from
Rutherford Beach to Intracoastal City. Remain well away from locally
hazardous surge having possible limited impacts.

Elsewhere across Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
Jefferson County and the Louisiana coastline from Sabine Pass to
Intracoastal City. Remain well sheltered from dangerous wind having
possible significant impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges and access routes
      impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Potential impacts from the main wind event are also now unfolding
across the remainder of southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana.
Remain well sheltered from hazardous wind having possible limited
impacts.

* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across Southwest
Louisiana and Southeast Texas. Remain well braced against a tornado
event having possible limited impacts. If realized, these impacts
include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

WATCH/WARNING PHASE - For those not under evacuation orders, assess
the risk from wind, falling trees, and flooding at your location. If
you decide to move, relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do
not relocate, help keep roadways open for those under evacuation
orders.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for
updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a battery-
powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.

Keep your cell phone charged and in power-saving mode. If you lose
power, use it sparingly and mainly for personal emergencies and
check-ins.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Lake Charles LA around 11 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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