[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KLCH 131528
HLSLCH
LAZ073-074-TXZ201-215-132330-

Tropical Storm Nicholas Local Statement Advisory Number 6
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA  AL142021
1028 AM CDT Mon Sep 13 2021

This product covers Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas

**NICHOLAS FORECAST TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Hardin
    - The Storm Surge Watch has been upgraded to a Storm Surge
      Warning and the Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a
      Tropical Storm Warning for Jefferson

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Hardin
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Jefferson
    - A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for West Cameron

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 290 miles southwest of Sabine Pass TX or about 370 miles
      southwest of Intracoastal City LA
    - 26.4N 96.8W
    - Storm Intensity 60 mph
    - Movement North or 5 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 1000 AM CDT, the center of Tropical Storm Nicholas was
located by NOAA Doppler weather radars and an Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 26.4 North, longitude 96.8
West in the western Gulf of Mexico. Nicholas is moving toward the
north near 12 mph and this general motion is expected to continue
today, followed by a turn toward the north-northeast on Tuesday.
On the forecast track, the center of Nicholas will pass near or
just offshore of the coast of south Texas this morning and move
onshore along the coast of south or central Texas late this
afternoon or this evening.

That said, the threat of heavy rain will persist far ahead of
where the center makes landfall. Heavy rain will be a continued
possibility from this morning through at least the middle of
the week for southeast Texas and portions of southwest Louisiana.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas.
Potential impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
      become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
      become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the coastline from Rutherford Beach westward. Potential
impacts in this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to non-elevated structures is possible.
    - Sections of escape routes and secondary roads become weakened
      or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, and piers. Several small
      craft broken away from moorings, especially in unprotected
      anchorages.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across the coastline from Rutherford Beach to Intracoastal
City.

Elsewhere across Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas. Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas. Potential impacts
include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended
preparedness actions, including possible evacuation. If ordered to
evacuate, do so immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Lake Charles LA around 5 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net