[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KBRO 130937
HLSBRO
TXZ248>257-351-353-131745-

Tropical Storm Nicholas Local Statement Advisory Number 5
National Weather Service Brownsville TX  AL142021
437 AM CDT Mon Sep 13 2021

This product covers The Rio Grande Valley and Deep South Texas

**NICHOLAS IS NEARING THE LOWER TEXAS COAST**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
      for Coastal Cameron, Coastal Kenedy, and Coastal Willacy

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 50 miles southeast of South Padre Island TX or about 90
      miles southeast of Port Mansfield TX
    - 25.5N 96.6W
    - Storm Intensity 60 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 345 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Nicholas was located about 45 miles southeast of the
mouth of the Rio Grande and moving to the north-northwest at 14 mph.
Nicholas will pass near or just off the lower Texas coast this morning,
before making landfall along the middle Texas coast this afternoon or
this evening. The biggest impact expected across the lower Texas coast
continues to be the potential for flooding this morning into the
afternoon. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for Cameron, Willacy,
and Kenedy counties with rainfall of 2 to 4 inches and locally higher
amounts. Tropical Storm force wind gusts are possible this morning into
the afternoon across the lower Texas coast, including South Padre
Island and Boca Chica. Storm surge is expected to generally peak at 2
to 3 feet, with an isolated 4 feet today into tonight, with coastal
flooding and beach erosion possible.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
coastal to central portions of deep south Texas. Remain well guarded
against dangerous flood waters having possible significant impacts. If
realized, these impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swift
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals,
      arroyos, and ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still possible across
across western portions of deep south Texas. Remain well guarded
against locally hazardous flood waters having possible limited impacts.

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
the coastal areas. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across The Rio Grande Valley and deep south Texas, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the lower Texas coast. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots. Exposed parking lots become overspread with surge water.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. New
      shoreline cuts possible. Strong and numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across inland areas along the Laguna Madre.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for
updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a battery-
powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.

Keep your cell phone charged and in power-saving mode. If you lose
power, use it sparingly and mainly for personal emergencies and check-
ins.

If you are prone to flooding or in an area under a storm surge watch
or warning, be prepared for the possibility of a quick and dramatic
rise in water levels.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service
in Brownsville TX around 10 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net