[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS84 KEWX 130505
HLSEWX
TXZ209-222>225-131315-

Tropical Storm Nicholas Local Statement Special Advisory Number 4
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX  AL142021
1205 AM CDT Mon Sep 13 2021

This product covers South Central Texas

**NICHOLAS RE-FORMS TO THE NORTH AND STRENGTHENS**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for De Witt, Fayette,
      Gonzales, Karnes, and Lavaca

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 350 miles south of La Grange TX or about 300 miles
      south-southeast of Cuero TX
    - 24.8N 96.3W
    - Storm Intensity 50 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 340 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Nicholas will move through the western Gulf of Mexico
tonight and Monday. The storm is expected to move inland over the
middle or upper Texas coast Mondayt night. There is a potential for
tropical storm force winds over Karnes, DeWitt, Lavaca, Gonzales, and
Fayette Counties, where a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect. Gusts to
tropical storm force are also possible around the periphery of this
area. Tropical storm force winds are most likely to arrive Monday
night and continue through the day Tuesday. In addition, locally heavy
rainfall could lead to flooding in some areas Monday through Tuesday.
Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are forecast, with locally higher
amounts possible.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across the Coastal Plains. Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals,
      usually dry creek beds, and ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some low water crossings could become flooded
      and turn deadly if attempting to pass through. Some road and
      bridge closures.

Elsewhere across South Central Texas, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
the Coastal Plains. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across South Central Texas, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across South Central
Texas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
WATCH/WARNING PHASE - No mandatory evacuations are in effect. Follow
the instructions of local officials

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Austin/San Antonio TX around 5 AM CDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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