[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 101116
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 10 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Larry, located over the western Atlantic several hundred miles
southwest of Newfoundland, Canada.

The northern portion of a tropical wave is producing disorganized
showers and thunderstorms over Honduras, the western Caribbean Sea,
and portions of the Yucatan peninsula.  This system is forecast to
move into the Bay of Campeche and merge with a pre-existing surface
trough located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by this weekend.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive to support
gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form
Sunday or Monday before the system moves onshore along the western
Gulf of Mexico coast.  Regardless of development, this disturbance
is expected to produce heavy rains across portions of Central
America through Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A strong tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the west coast
of Africa by tonight.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical
depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week as
the system moves west-northwestward over the far eastern Atlantic
near the Cabo Verde Islands.  Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands
should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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