[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 070532
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Sep 7 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Larry, located over the central Atlantic about 900 miles southeast
of Bermuda.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northern portion of
the Yucatan Peninsula and the south-central Gulf of Mexico are
associated with a surface trough and an upper-level disturbance.
The system is expected to move slowly northeastward over the central
and northeastern Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days.
Upper-level winds are currently unfavorable for development, but
they are forecast to become marginally conducive for some limited
development as the system nears the northern Gulf coast on Wednesday
and Wednesday night.  The disturbance is then expected to cross the
southeastern United States, and some tropical or subtropical
development will be possible after it emerges off the southeastern
United States coast late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart
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