[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 041141
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Sep 4 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Larry, located over the central tropical Atlantic about midway
between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles.

A surface trough over portions of Central America and the southern
Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico is producing disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity.  This system is expected to move
northwestward during the next day or so, bringing locally heavy
rains to these areas.  The disturbance is forecast to emerge over
the southwestern or south-central Gulf of Mexico on Sunday, and then
move northward or northeastward over the central Gulf of Mexico
through the middle of next week. Unfavorable upper-level winds are
expected to limit development through Monday, but environmental
conditions could become marginally favorable for some gradual
development on Tuesday or Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven
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