[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Sep 3 06:39:44 CDT 2021


ABNT20 KNHC 031139
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 3 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Larry, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic about 1000 miles
west of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands.

A surface trough over the Gulf of Honduras and portions of Central
America is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
This system is expected to move west-northwestward across Central
America and the Yucatan Peninsula, bringing heavy rains to that area
during the next couple of days.  The disturbance is expected to move
over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this weekend, but
unfavorable upper-level winds could limit significant development
while the system moves northwestward or northward over the western
Gulf of Mexico early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Minimal shower and thunderstorm activity is occurring in
association with an area of disturbed weather located about 150
miles southwest of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands.  This
disturbance is expected to move westward into an environment less
conducive for development during the next couple of days, and the
chances of formation are decreasing.  This system could bring
showers and gusty winds to portions of the southernmost Cabo Verde
Islands for a few more hours.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven
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