[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
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Thu Jul 8 05:05:20 CDT 2021
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MDZ021>025-NCZ013>017-030>032-102-VAZ075-077-078-084>086-095>100-523>525-081700-
Tropical Storm Elsa Local Statement Advisory Number 33
National Weather Service Wakefield VA AL052021
605 AM EDT Thu Jul 8 2021
This product covers CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...AND THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
**CENTER OF ELSA MOVES INTO SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- None
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Accomack, Bertie,
Camden, Chesapeake, Chowan, Dorchester, Eastern Currituck,
Gates, Gloucester, Hampton/Poquoson, Hertford, Inland
Worcester, Lancaster, Maryland Beaches, Mathews, Middlesex,
Newport News, Norfolk/Portsmouth, Northampton, Northumberland,
Pasquotank, Perquimans, Somerset, Suffolk, Virginia Beach,
Western Currituck, Westmoreland, Wicomico, and York
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 490 miles southwest of Ocean City MD or about 370 miles
southwest of Norfolk VA
- 33.4N 81.3W
- Storm Intensity 40 mph
- Movement Northeast or 35 degrees at 18 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Tropical Storm Elsa continues to track across the Carolinas this
morning...and is forecast to move across northern North Carolina and
eastern Virginia late today into tonight, before moving northeast of
the Delmarva coast early Friday morning.
Heavy rain bands and embedded thunderstorms are expected to overspread
the region late this morning into tonight. 2 to 4 inches of rainfall is
forecast across much of central and eastern Virginia, in addition to
the Lower Eastern Shore. Locally higher amounts up to 6 inches are
possible in these locations. Heavy rainfall will result in a threat of
localized flash flooding. A Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for
much of central and south central VA, the peninsulas of eastern VA and
much of the lower eastern shore.
Tropical storm force wind gusts are expected to develop along/near
coastal portions of northeast North Carolina, eastern Virginia, and
southeast Maryland this evening into late tonight. This could lead to
some downed trees and scattered power outages. There is the potential
for minor tidal flooding in areas along the north side of the
Albemarle and Currituck Sound (including Back Bay in Virginia Beach)
from late this afternoon into tonight. In addition, minor tidal
flooding is possible on the bay side of the Lower Maryland Eastern
Shore and in portions of the Virginia Northern Neck adjacent to the
tidal Potomac.
Additionally, a few tornadoes will be possible late this afternoon
into tonight across northeast North Carolina, southeast/eastern
Virginia, and southeast Maryland, which could lead to locally enhanced
damage.
Dangerous marine conditions are expected to develop this evening into
Friday morning...with strong winds and seas building to 6 to 9 feet.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...
AND THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE.
Potential impacts include:
- Flooding from heavy rainfall may prompt evacuations and rescues
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen, with swift
currents, and overspill their banks. Small streams, creeks, and
ditches overflow.
- Flood waters can enter some structures and/or weaken
foundations. Some areas may experience areas of rapid
inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures are expected.
Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...
AND THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE.
* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...AND
THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.
Potential impacts include:
- A few tornadoes are expected. As a result, execution of
emergency plans could be hindered in affected areas.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Roofs peeled off some buildings. A few chimneys toppled and
mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned. Large tree
tops and branches snapped off, with some trees knocked over. A
few vehicles blown off roads.
* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...AND THE
LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.
Potential impacts include:
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, especially if soils are saturated. Some roadway signs
will sustain damage.
- A few roads will be impassable from debris. Hazardous driving
conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.
* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...AND
THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE.
Potential impacts in this area include:
- Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
- Sections of low-lying vulnerable roads, parking lots and
property will likely become flooded. Driving conditions could
become dangerous in places where flooding covers the road.
- Moderate beach erosion is likely, including heavy
surf possibly breaching dunes, especially in vulnerable
locations. Strong and dangerous rip currents are likely.
- Minor to moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and
piers is likely. A few small craft broken away from moorings.
Elsewhere across CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...AND THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE, little to no impact
is anticipated.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles
can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly
ventilated area.
Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!
If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.
If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see
www.readyvirginia.gov, readync.org or mema.maryland.gov
- For the latest weather and storm information go to
weather.gov/wakefield
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Wakefield VA around Noon EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
$$
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