[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KPHI 080328
HLSPHI
DEZ003-004-MDZ015-019-020-NJZ013-014-020-022>027-081200-

Tropical Storm Elsa Local Statement Advisory Number 32
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ  AL052021
1128 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

This product covers New Jersey...Delaware...southeastern Pennsylvania,
and the Eastern Shore of Maryland

**Elsa is Expected to Impact Portions of southern Delaware and
eastern New Jersey late Thursday into Friday morning**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
      Warning for Atlantic Coastal Cape May, Cape May, Caroline,
      Delaware Beaches, Inland Sussex, Queen Annes, and Talbot

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Atlantic Coastal Cape
      May, Cape May, Caroline, Delaware Beaches, Inland Sussex, Queen
      Annes, and Talbot
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Atlantic, Coastal
      Atlantic, Coastal Ocean, Eastern Monmouth, Ocean, Southeastern
      Burlington, and Western Monmouth

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 670 miles southwest of Atlantic City NJ or about 610
      miles southwest of Dover DE
    - 32.1N 82.3W
    - Storm Intensity 45 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 25 degrees at 16 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Elsa is continuing to track northeast through Georgia
into the Carolinas later tonight into Thursday morning. Elsa is then
forecast to move across southern Delaware and eastern New Jersey late
Thursday night into Friday morning. Elsa is then forecast to continue
to accelerate and move northeast, away from New Jersey, late Friday
morning.

The main threats with this system are heavy rainfall resulting in
flash flooding, the potential for river flooding, and tropical storm
force winds especially near the coast. Dangerous marine conditions
will develop over the Atlantic Waters and the lower Delaware Bay
including strong winds, rough seas, and dangerous rip currents.
Additionally, a few tornadoes may be possible for eastern New Jersey
and eastern Delware which could lead to locally enhanced damage.

Two to four inches of rainfall are forecast Thursday afternoon into
Friday morning. Heavy rainfall will result in a threat of localized
flash flooding. Dangerous marine conditions are also expected to
develop along the Delaware Bay waters south of Slaughter Beach and
along the Atlantic Coastal Waters for all of Delaware and up towards
Sandy Hook, NJ. Tropical Storm force winds will be most likely across
the waters with seas building to 6 to 9 feet over the waters.
Dangerous rip currents will likely occur along the ocean beaches of
Delaware and New Jersey.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across New Jersey, Delaware, southeastern Pennsylvania, and the
Eastern Shore of Maryland. Potential impacts include:
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially in
      usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
coastal areas of the Eastern Shore of Maryland, coastal Sussex Delaware,
and coastal Cape May County in NJ. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across New Jersey, Delaware, southeastern Pennsylvania, and
the Eastern Shore of Maryland, little to no impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
eastern New Jersey and Delaware.... Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

* SURGE:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across New Jersey,
Delaware, Pennsylvania, or the Eastern Shore of Maryland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are relocating to safe shelter, leave as early as possible.
Allow extra time to reach your destination. Many roads and bridges
will be closed once strong winds arrive. Check the latest weather
forecast before departing and drive with caution.

If heading to a community shelter, become familiar with the shelter
rules before arrival, especially if you have special needs or have
pets. Take essential items with you from your Emergency Supplies Kit.

Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any
orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency
Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are
unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.

Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles
can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly
ventilated area.

It is important to remain calm, informed, and focused during an
emergency. Be patient and helpful with those you encounter.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.

Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mount Holly NJ around 530 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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