[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jul 7 10:45:57 CDT 2021


WTUS82 KTBW 071545
HLSTBW
FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-072345-

Tropical Storm Elsa Local Statement Advisory Number 30
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL  AL052021
1145 AM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

This product covers West Central and Southwest Florida

**Tropical Storm Elsa will start to push into the Big Bend of Florida
and away from West Central Florida over the next several hours. **


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Hurricane Warning has been cancelled and a Tropical Storm
      Warning has been issued for Coastal Citrus and Coastal Levy
    - The Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning have been
      cancelled for Coastal Hillsborough, Coastal Manatee, Coastal
      Pasco, and Pinellas
    - The Tropical Storm Warning has been cancelled for Inland
      Hernando, Inland Hillsborough, Inland Manatee, Inland Pasco,
      and Sumter

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Coastal Citrus, Coastal Hernando, and Coastal Levy
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Inland Citrus and
      Inland Levy

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 60 miles north-northwest of Cedar Key FL
    - 29.9N 83.6W
    - Storm Intensity 65 mph
    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------



Tropical Storm Elsa continues to threaten mainly coastal areas along
the big bend of Florida including Levy and Citrus counties. Elsa is
now expected to continue to the northwest and makes its way out of
Florida as it heads through Georgia and the Carolinas. This means
the possibility for tropical storm force winds, localized flash flooding, storm surge,
hazardous marine conditions, and possibly a few tornadoes will be
confined mainly along the Nature Coast and will be moving away in the
next few hours.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
the Nature Coast. Remain well sheltered from dangerous
wind having possible significant impacts. If realized, these impacts
include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Potential impacts from the main wind event are also now unfolding
across the Nature Coast. Remain well sheltered from
hazardous wind having possible limited impacts.

Elsewhere across West Central and Southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
The Nature Coast. Remain well away from locally hazardous
surge having possible limited impacts. If realized, these impacts
include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across West Central and Southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
The Nature Coast. Remain well guarded against dangerous
flood waters having possible significant impacts.
If realized, these impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
The Nature Coast. Remain well guarded against locally
hazardous flood waters having possible limited impacts.

* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across The
Nature Coast. Remain well braced against a tornado event
having possible limited impacts. If realized,
these impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and boats pulled
      from moorings.

Elsewhere across West Central and Southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
 Do not enter evacuated areas until officials have given the all clear
to return.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tampa Bay Ruskin FL around 5 PM, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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