[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KJAX 061516
HLSJAX
FLZ020-021-023-024-030-031-033-035-038-122-124-125-132-133-136>138-140-222-225-232-236-237-240-325-340-425-GAZ132>136-149-151>154-162-163-165-166-250-264-350-364-062330-

Tropical Storm Elsa Local Statement Advisory Number 25
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL  AL052021
1116 AM EDT Tue Jul 6 2021

This product covers Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia

**TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS EXPANDED INLAND TO WEST OF HIGHWAY 301 IN
 NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES EXPANDED ACROSS INTERIOR
 SOUTHEAST GEORGIA SOUTH AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 84**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
      Warning for Baker, Bradford, Eastern Alachua, Eastern Marion,
      and Union
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Brantley, Clinch,
      Inland Camden, Inland Glynn, Inland Nassau, Northeastern
      Charlton, Southern Ware, Western Charlton, Western Clay, and
      Western Duval

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Brantley, Clinch,
      Coastal Camden, Coastal Glynn, Echols, Inland Camden, Inland
      Glynn, Inland Nassau, Northeastern Charlton, Southern Ware,
      Western Charlton, Western Clay, and Western Duval
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baker, Bradford,
      Central Marion, Eastern Alachua, Eastern Marion, Gilchrist,
      Hamilton, Northern Columbia, Southern Columbia, Suwannee,
      Union, Western Alachua, and Western Marion

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 390 miles south-southwest of Jacksonville FL or about 300
      miles south of Ocala FL
    - 24.9N 82.8W
    - Storm Intensity 60 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 340 degrees at 10 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Elsa is forecast to track northward toward the west
coast of the Florida peninsula today and move into the northern
portions of the peninsula late tonight into Wednesday, weaken, and then
move northeastward through southeast Georgia late Wednesday. Some of
Elsa impacts will begin to affect the region as early as this evening
with rainbands moving up from the south. Gusty winds of 40 to 50 mph
will be possible ahead of Elsa in the showers and thunderstorms.
Sustained tropical storm force winds will arrive later tonight into
early Wednesday morning for counties along and west of Highway 301 and
south and east of Highway 84 in southeast Georgia. Heavy rainfall and
saturated grounds will enhance the flood risk over inland areas of
northeast FL and southeast Georgia. Rainfall amounts near 2 to 4 inches
with higher amounts to 6 inches are possible. An isolated tornado will
be possible over portions of northeast Florida tonight into Wednesday.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across coastal southeast Georgia. Potential impacts
include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
      become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
      become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across the rest of northeast Florida and southeast
Georgia.

* WIND:
Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across inland areas of northeast Florida west of Highway 301.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across the rest of northeast Florida and southeast Georgia.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across Marion County and portions of Putnam and Flagler
Counties. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
    - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
      homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
      uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
      Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across the rest of northeast Florida and southeast Georgia.

* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across coastal southeast Georgia. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia, little to
no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep
roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are relocating to safe shelter, leave as early as possible.
Allow extra time to reach your destination. Many roads and bridges
will be closed once strong winds arrive. Check the latest weather
forecast before departing and drive with caution.

If heading to a community shelter, become familiar with the shelter
rules before arrival, especially if you have special needs or have
pets. Take essential items with you from your Emergency Supplies Kit.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Jacksonville FL around 5 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net