[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Tropical Storm Elsa Local Statement Advisory Number 24
National Weather Service Miami FL  AL052021
522 AM EDT Tue Jul 6 2021

This product covers South Florida

**Deteriorating conditions across South Florida as Elsa moves across
 the Gulf of Mexico**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Coastal Collier and
      Mainland Monroe

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 180 miles southwest of Miami FL or about 150 miles
      south-southwest of Naples FL
    - 24.1N 82.4W
    - Storm Intensity 60 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 340 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Elsa is moving over the Florida Straits this morning,
approaching the Lower Florida Keys and eastern Gulf of Mexico. The
storm is forecast to continue moving generally north-northwestward
just west of the Gulf Coast of South Florida today through early
Wednesday morning.

* Outer rainbands associated with Elsa are impacting much of South
  Florida this morning and will continue through early Wednesday
  morning.
* The greatest risk for sustained tropical storm force winds and
  surge impacts will be along the immediate Southwest Florida coast
  into early to late Wednesday respectively.
* The remainder of South Florida will remain at risk for tropical
  storm force wind gusts in rain bands and flooding from excessive
  rainfall through late tonight.
* Isolated tornadoes and waterspouts may be possible through the day.
* Residents and visitors are urged to remain in shelter until
  tropical storm conditions subside later tonight into early
  Wednesday morning.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
South Florida. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Ditches and canals may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple
      places. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets, parking lots and underpasses become submerged. Driving
      conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with
      some weakened or washed out.

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
portions of South Florida. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across South Florida, little to no impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are now unfolding across South
Florida. If realized, these impacts include:
    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
    - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
      homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
      uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
      Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across vulnerable coastal areas, in particular coastal Southwest
Florida. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across South Florida, little to no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

Do not enter evacuated areas until officials have given the all clear
to return.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for
updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a battery-
powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.

If you are prone to flooding or in an area under a storm surge watch
or warning, be prepared for the possibility of a quick and dramatic
rise in water levels.

If a tornado warning is issued for your area, quickly move to the
safest place within your shelter. Protect your head and body.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Miami FL around 12 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$
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