[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT35 KNHC 010542
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Five Intermediate Advisory Number 2A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052021
200 AM AST Thu Jul 01 2021

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD OVER THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM SOON...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.5N 47.4W
ABOUT 950 MI...1535 KM ESE OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Barbados
* Martinique
* St. Lucia

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines
* Guadeloupe

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Windward Islands, Leeward Islands, the
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, and Haiti
should monitor the progress of this system.  Warnings and
additional watches will likely be required tonight and on Thursday.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Five was
located near latitude 9.5 North, longitude 47.4 West. The depression
is moving toward the west near 24 mph (39 km/h).  An even faster
motion to the west-northwest is expected over the next 24 to 36
hours.  On the forecast track, the system will pass near or over
portions of the Windward Islands or the southern Leeward Islands on
Friday, move into the eastern Caribbean Sea late Friday and Friday
night, and move near the southern coast of Hispaniola on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Strengthening is forecast, and the depression is expected
to become a tropical storm later this morning.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Depression Five can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5, WMO
header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at
www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?key_messages.

WIND: Tropical-storm conditions are expected in portions of the
Windward and southern Leeward Islands within the warning area
beginning late tonight and into Friday.  Tropical storm conditions
are possible in the watch area beginning late tonight and into
Friday.

RAINFALL: The system will produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches
with maximum totals of 8 inches on Friday across the Windward and
southern Leeward Islands, including Barbados.  This rain may produce
isolated flash flooding and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch
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