[Tropical] Tropical Weather Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

AXNT20 KNHC 061006
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1205 UTC Fri Nov 6 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Depression Eta is centered near 17.3N 87.4W at 06/0900
UTC or 100 nm NNW of La Ceiba Honduras moving N at 7 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Scattered moderate to
strong within 120 nm NE and 60 nm SW semicircles. Eta is forecast
to intensify and approach the Cayman Islands and western or
central Cuba this weekend. Please read the latest NHC Public
Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPAT4.shtml and
Forecast/ Advisory at
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMAT4.shtml for more details.

Through Monday morning, heavy rainfall from Eta will lead to
catastrophic, life-threatening flash flooding and river flooding
across portions of Central America, along with landslides in areas
of higher terrain. Flash and river flooding is also possible
across Jamaica, southeast Mexico, the Cayman Islands and western
Cuba.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 46W/47W from 16N southward,
moving westward 10 to 15 knots. Scattered moderate convection is
noted S of 07N within 120 nm E of the wave axis.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 61W, from 15N southward,
moving westward 10 to 15 knots. There is no significant convection
with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough is inland over Africa. The ITCZ extends from
13N22W to 04N45W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection
was noted from 04N to 08N between 32W and 40W.

GULF OF MEXICO...

Fresh to strong winds prevail across the waters S of a line from
Central Florida to near Veracruz, Mexico. Moderate to fresh winds
prevail elsewhere.

Tropical Depression Eta near 17.3N 87.4W 1004 mb at 4 AM EST
moving N at 7 kt. Maximum sustained winds 30 kt gusts 40 kt. Eta
will strengthen to a tropical storm near 18.0N 86.6W this
afternoon, move to 19.1N 84.5W Sat morning, 20.2N 82.2W Sat
afternoon, 21.8N 80.3W Sun morning, 23.5N 79.9W Sun afternoon, and
24.6N 80.7W Mon morning. Eta will change little in intensity as
it moves to near 25.1N 83.7W early Tue. Tropical storm conditions
are possible in the SE Gulf, including the Straits of Florida, Sun
night, spreading northward across the eastern Gulf through Tue.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see above for more on Tropical Depression Eta. Outside of
Eta, moderate to fresh winds prevail across the central and
eastern Caribbean.

Tropical Depression Eta near 17.3N 87.4W 1004 mb at 4 AM EST
moving N at 7 kt. Maximum sustained winds 30 kt gusts 40 kt. Eta
will strengthen to a tropical storm near 18.0N 86.6W this
afternoon, move to 19.1N 84.5W Sat morning, 20.2N 82.2W Sat
afternoon. Eta will shift north of the area Sun and Sun night,
with conditions improving through early next week.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A shear line extends from near 28N55W SW to western Cuba.
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted within
90 nm of the shearline. A surface trough extends from 31N50W to
25N53W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted
within 60 nm of the trough. Fresh to locally strong winds prevail
over the waters N of 21N and W of 65W, with moderate to fresh
winds prevailing elsewhere.

Tropical Depression Eta near 17.3N 87.4W 1004 mb at 4 AM EST
moving N at 7 kt. Maximum sustained winds 30 kt gusts 40 kt. Eta
will strengthen to a tropical storm near 18.0N 86.6W this
afternoon, move to 19.1N 84.5W Sat morning, 20.2N 82.2W Sat
afternoon, 21.8N 80.3W Sun morning, 23.5N 79.9W Sun afternoon, and
24.6N 80.7W Mon morning. Eta will change little in intensity as
it moves to near 25.1N 83.7W early Tue. Tropical storm conditions
are possible between Cuba and the Bahamas Sat night through Mon.
Large seas are expected in the western Atlantic Sat through Tue.

$$
AL
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net