[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT33 KWNH 082101 CCA
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Cristobal Advisory Number  29...Corrected
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL032020
400 PM CDT Mon Jun 08 2020

Corrected cyclone category for the 36 hour forecast point
...CRISTOBAL MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...
...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.0N 92.0W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM N OF MONROE LOUISIANA
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM WSW OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Flash Flood Watches are in effect in and near the length of the
Mississippi Valley.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Cristobal was located near latitude 34.0 North, longitude 92.0 West.
The depression is moving toward the north near 18 mph (30 km/h) and
this motion is expected to accelerate and become more
north-northeast as Cristobal moves through the Midwest and western
Great Lakes.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening of Cristobal is expected tonight into Tuesday
morning before the low restrengthens as it acquires non-tropical
character Tuesday night into Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Gusty winds are expected to gradually subside over portions
of the northern Gulf coast from southeastern Louisiana to the
western Florida Panhandle.  Gusty winds could also occur Tuesday
night and Wednesday over portions of the Midwest and western Great
Lakes as Cristobal becomes an extratropical low.

RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce additional rainfall
accumulations of around an inch along the Gulf Coast from Louisiana
to the Florida Panhandle, resulting in isolated storm total amounts
of 10 inches.  Cristobal will also produce rainfall totals of 2 to
4 inches with local amounts to 6 inches from Arkansas to the
western Great Lakes through Wednesday morning.  This rainfall may
produce flash flooding, and is forecast to produce isolated
significant river flooding across portions of the central Gulf
Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley.  Smaller streams across
southeast Louisiana and southern Mississippi have begun to rise and
are forecast to crest mid-week.  New and renewed significant river
flooding is possible across the Mid and Upper Mississippi Valley.

TORNADOES:  Isolated tornadoes are possible this evening and
tonight across eastern and northern Mississippi, western Alabama,
and western Tennessee.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Roth

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  08/2100Z 34.0N  92.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 12H  09/0600Z 36.3N  92.2W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 24H  09/1800Z 40.2N  91.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 36H  10/0600Z 44.9N  88.4W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  10/1800Z 49.5N  84.8W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
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