[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 071011
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-071815-

Tropical Storm Cristobal Local Statement Advisory Number 23
National Weather Service Mobile AL  AL032020
511 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2020

This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.

**SQUALLS WITH TROPICAL-STORM FORCE WINDS APPROACHING THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF
COAST**
**CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE ALONG COASTAL SECTIONS OF ALABAMA INTO
THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATER THIS MORNING**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baldwin Central,
      Baldwin Coastal, Escambia Coastal, George, Mobile Central,
      Mobile Coastal, Mobile Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Santa Rosa
      Coastal, and Stone

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 260 miles south-southwest of Mobile AL or about 280 miles
      southwest of Pensacola FL
    - 27.3N 90.1W
    - Storm Intensity 50 mph
    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 4:00 AM CDT, Tropical Storm Cristobal will continue to approach the
southeast Louisiana coast today and make landfall by this evening. Cristobal
will then weaken as it moves north-northwestward across Louisiana on Monday.

Tropical Storm Force winds, especially in gusts, will begin to impact coastal
Alabama and far western portions of the Florida Panhandle later this morning,
before spreading further inland across interior portions of southeast
Mississippi later this afternoon through this evening. These winds will
persist through tonight before gradually diminishing Monday morning.

Coastal Flooding is expected along coastal Alabama and the western
Florida Panhandle with inundation of 1 to 3 feet Sunday through Monday
afternoon, especially around the time of high tide. The greatest potential
for storm surge will be across surge prone locations along northern Mobile
Bay, where inundation near 3 feet will be likely. High Surf is occurring and
will continue with breaker heights of 9 to 12 feet through Monday.

Rainfall amounts between 4 and 8 inches are expected with isolated
higher amounts up to 10 inches across southeast Mississippi and
southwest Alabama. The highest totals are expected across southeast
Mississippi. Rainfall amounts between 2 and 4 inches are expected over
inland Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle, with isolated higher
amounts. This will lead to flash flooding, especially in poor drainage
and urban areas.

A few tornadoes will be possible from through early Monday morning
across southeast Mississippi, southwest Alabama, and the western Florida
Panhandle.

Prepare now for potentially damaging winds, minor coastal flooding,
strong rip currents, periods of heavy rainfall, and a few tornadoes
across locations within the Tropical Storm Warning area.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
devastating impacts across interior southeast Mississippi and portions of
coastal Alabama. Potential impacts include:
    - Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their banks
      in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks,
      canals, and ditches may become raging rivers. In mountain
      areas, deadly runoff may rage down valleys while increasing
      susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood control
      systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover escape
      routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water
      with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become very
      dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures with some weakened
      or washed out.

Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
limited to extensive impacts across the remainder of southwest and south
central Alabama and the western Florida panhandle..

* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across coastal Alabama and along the coast of the western Florida
panhandle, including all local bays and sounds. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
portions of interior southeast Mississippi, coastal Alabama, and near
the coast of the western Florida panhandle. Potential impacts in this
area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across portions of interior southwest Alabama, northwest
Florida, south central Alabama, and inland southeast Mississippi,
little to no impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across portions of southwest Alabama...the western Florida Panhandle...
south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.. Potential
impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep
roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 10 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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