[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Jun 5 16:50:59 CDT 2020


WTUS84 KMOB 052150
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-060600-

Tropical Storm Cristobal Local Statement Advisory Number 17
National Weather Service Mobile AL  AL032020
450 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020

This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.

**TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF
 ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
      Warning for Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Mobile Central,
      and Mobile Coastal
    - A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Escambia Coastal,
      Okaloosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Coastal

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baldwin Central,
      Baldwin Coastal, Escambia Coastal, Mobile Central, Mobile
      Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Coastal

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 650 miles south of Mobile AL or about 650 miles
      south-southwest of Pensacola FL
    - 21.4N 89.7W
    - Storm Intensity 40 mph
    - Movement North or 10 degrees at 13 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 4:00 PM CDT, Tropical Storm Cristobal will continue to advance
northward from the Yucatan Peninsula this weekend, reaching the north
central Gulf of Mexico by noon Sunday. The system is then forecast to
approach the southern Louisiana coast Sunday evening, and then move
northward across the state of Louisiana throughout the day Monday.

Tropical Storm Force winds will be possible along the coastal sections
of Alabama Saturday night and Sunday.

Coastal Flooding is possible along Alabama and the western Florida
panhandle with inundation of 2 to 3 feet Sunday through Monday
afternoon, especially around the time of high tide. High Surf is
likely with breaker heights of 8 to 11 feet developing late Saturday
night through Monday afternoon.

Rainfall amounts between 4 and 6 inches, with isolated higher amounts
will be possible, especially across the southern portions of Mobile
and Baldwin counties and inland section of southeast Mississippi. This
may lead to localized flooding, mainly in poor drainage areas.

Prepare now for potentially damaging winds, minor coastal flooding,
strong rip currents, and periods of heavy rainfall across locations in
the Tropical Storm Watch area.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south central
Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.. Potential impacts
include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across Alabama and the western Florida panhandle. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across the southern portions of Mobile and Baldwin counties and
inland section of southeast Mississippi. Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts along and south of U.S. Highway 84.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
the coastal sections of Alabama and the western Florida panhandle.
Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep
roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which it
resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 10 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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