[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT33 KNHC 040844
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cristobal Advisory Number  11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032020
400 AM CDT Thu Jun 04 2020

...CENTER OF CRISTOBAL MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD OVER SOUTHERN
MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 91.3W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SE OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 125 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Campeche to Coatzacoalcos Mexico

Tropical storm watches or warnings may be required for portions of
the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico later today.  Interests there and
along the northern coast of the Gulf of Mexico should monitor the
progress of Cristobal.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was
located over southern Mexico near latitude 17.9 North, longitude
91.3 West. Cristobal is moving toward the southeast near 2 mph (4
km/h), and this motion should continue this morning.  A turn toward
the east and northeast is expected later today, and a subsequent
northward motion should occur through Saturday.  On the forecast
track, the center will move over the land mass of eastern Mexico
today and tonight. The center is forecast to move back over the
southern Gulf of Mexico Friday or Friday night, and over the
central Gulf of Mexico on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Cristobal is expected to weaken to a depression during the next
several hours.  Re-intensification is expected to begin on Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center, primarily over water to the northwest of the
center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Saturday:

Mexican states of Campeche, Quintana Roo, Tabasco, and Yucatan...
Additional 6 to 12 inches, isolated storm totals of 25 inches.

Mexican states of Veracruz and Oaxaca...Additional 5 to 10 inches.

Southern Guatemala and parts of Chiapas...Additional 15 to 20
inches, isolated storm total amounts of 35 inches dating back to
Saturday, May 30th.

El Salvador...Additional 10 to 15 inches, isolated storm total
amounts of 35 inches dating back to Saturday, May 30th.

Belize and Honduras...Additional 3 to 6 inches, isolated 10 inches.

Rainfall in all of these areas may produce life-threatening flash
floods and mudslides.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are affecting the coast within
portions of the warning area.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net