[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT33 KNHC 031739
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cristobal Intermediate Advisory Number 8A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032020
100 PM CDT Wed Jun 03 2020

...CRISTOBAL MOVING SLOWLY OVER LAND NEAR CIUDAD DEL CARMEN
MEXICO...
...CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS AND LIFE-THREATENING
FLOODING...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.4N 91.9W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSW OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSE OR 150 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Campeche to Coatzacoalcos Mexico

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was
located near latitude 18.4 North, longitude 91.9 West.  Cristobal is
moving toward the south-southeast near 3 mph (6 km/h), and a turn
toward the east is expected later today.  A turn toward the
north-northeast and north is expected on Thursday and Friday. On the
forecast track, the center will move over the land mass of eastern
Mexico through Thursday.  The center is forecast to move back over
the Gulf of Mexico by Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Slow weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and
Cristobal will likely become a tropical depression by Thursday
evening.  Some re-strengthening is expected to begin on Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.  A wind gust of 55 mph (89 km/h) was reported at
Ciudad del Carmen during the past few hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.41 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Friday night:

Mexican states of Campeche, northern Chiapas, Quintana Roo, Tabasco,
and Yucatan...10 to 20 inches, isolated 25 inches.

Mexican state of southern Chiapas...15 to 20 inches, isolated 25
inches.

Mexican states of Veracruz and Oaxaca...5 to 10 inches.

Southern Guatemala...Additional 15 to 20 inches, isolated storm
total amounts of 35 inches dating back to Saturday, May 30th.

El Salvador...Additional 10 to 15 inches, isolated storm total
amounts of 35 inches dating back to Saturday, May 30th.

Belize and Honduras...3 to 6 inches, isolated 10 inches.

Rainfall in all of these areas may produce life-threatening flash
floods and mudslides.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are affecting the coast within
portions of the warning area.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch
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