[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Jul 24 16:12:42 CDT 2020


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Hurricane Douglas Local Statement Advisory Number 18
National Weather Service Honolulu HI  EP082020
1112 AM HST Fri Jul 24 2020

This product covers the Hawaiian islands

**MAJOR HURRICANE DOUGLAS CONTINUES TO TRACK TOWARD THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Hurricane Watch has been issued for Big Island Interior, Big
      Island North and East, Big Island Summits, Haleakala Summit,
      Kahoolawe, Kohala, Kona, Lanai Makai, Lanai Mauka, Leeward
      Haleakala, Maui Central Valley, Maui Leeward West, Maui
      Windward West, Molokai Leeward, Molokai Windward, South Big
      Island, and Windward Haleakala

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Big Island Interior, Big
      Island North and East, Big Island Summits, Haleakala Summit,
      Kahoolawe, Kohala, Kona, Lanai Makai, Lanai Mauka, Leeward
      Haleakala, Maui Central Valley, Maui Leeward West, Maui
      Windward West, Molokai Leeward, Molokai Windward, South Big
      Island, and Windward Haleakala

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 990 miles east-southeast of Honolulu or about 780 miles
      east-southeast of Hilo
    - 17.0N 143.5W
    - Storm Intensity 115 mph
    - Movement West-northwest or 295 degrees at 18 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Hurricane Douglas may bring damaging winds, heavy rainfall, and
high surf to parts of the state this weekend and possibly into
Monday. Some impacts from Douglas could be experienced as early as
Saturday night, mainly over the eastern end of the island chain.
Douglas may move directly over portions of the state on Sunday.
While Maui and the Big Island would be first to experience impacts,
do not focus on the exact track forecast track or intensity of
Douglas at this time, and be prepared for changes in future
forecasts.

Damaging winds may begin as early as Saturday night across parts of
Maui and the Big Island, possibly spreading westward to the rest of
the state on Sunday. It is important to note that the mountainous
terrain of the islands can produce localized areas of highly
enhanced winds, even well away from the tropical cyclone center.

Flooding rain will be possible as early as Saturday night on Maui
and the Big Island, and chances for flooding will increase for much
of the state on Sunday. The flood threat could persist into Monday
for some islands. Storm total rainfall of 6 to 10 inches, locally to
15 inches, will be possible. While the highest rainfall will favor
windward areas, leeward areas could also experience flooding.

Large swells arriving ahead of Douglas will produce dangerous surf
along east and southeast facing shores, especially on the Big Island
and Maui. Large and rough seas will build rapidly Saturday night and
Sunday on exposed east and southeast facing shores and may produce
damaging surf, significant beach erosion, and overwash onto
vulnerable coastal roads, particularly during high tide.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
Maui County and the Big Island. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Also, prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across the rest of the State of Hawaii.

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across Maui County and the Big Island. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across the Hawaiian islands, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening flooding having possible extensive
impacts across Maui County and the Big Island. Potential
impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and
      ditches may become dangerous rivers. In mountain areas,
      destructive runoff may run quickly down valleys while
      increasing susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood
      control systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Prepare for dangerous flooding having possible limited to
significant impacts across the rest of the State of Hawaii.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time
across the Hawaiian islands.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help
keep roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Honolulu HI around 530 PM HST, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
Wroe
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