[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 100238
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062020
1100 PM EDT Thu Jul 09 2020

...FAY CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTHWARD TO THE EAST OF NORTHEASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA ...
...EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF
THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.3N 74.8W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM NNE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM S OF OCEAN CITY MARYLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cape May New Jersey to Watch Hill Rhode Island including Long
Island and Long Island Sound

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay was
located near latitude 36.3 North, longitude 74.8 West. Fay is moving
toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h).  A northward to north-
northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected over the
next couple of days.  On the forecast track, the center of Fay is
forecast to move near the mid-Atlantic coast on Friday or Friday
night, and move inland over the northeast United States late Friday
night or on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is forecast tonight and Friday while the
center remains over water.  Weakening should begin after the center
moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
mainly to the east and southeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Fay can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC.

RAINFALL:  Fay is expected to produce 3 to 5 inches of rain with
isolated maxima of 8 inches along and near the track of Fay across
the mid Atlantic states into southeast New York and southern New
England. These rains may result in flash flooding where the heaviest
amounts occur.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area on Friday and spread northward
through the warning area Friday night.

STORM SURGE: Minor flooding is possible along the coast for portions
of the Tropical Storm Warning area.

TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible on Friday over portions
of New Jersey, southeast New York, and southern New England.



NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven
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