[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT31 KNHC 092055
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062020
500 PM EDT Thu Jul 09 2020

...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS TROPICAL STORM FAY HAS FORMED
JUST OFF THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...
...EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF
THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.5N 74.9W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM ENE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM S OF OCEAN CITY MARYLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from Cape May New Jersey
northward to Watch Hill, Rhode Island, including Long Island and
Long Island Sound.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cape May New Jersey to Watch Hill Rhode Island including Long
Island and Long Island Sound

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay was
located near latitude 35.5 North, longitude 74.9 West. Fay is moving
toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h).  A northward to north-
northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected over the
next couple of days.  On the forecast track, the center of Fay is
forecast to move near the mid-Atlantic coast on Friday, and move
inland over the northeast United States on Saturday.

Data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate
that maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Some slight strengthening is forecast tonight and
Friday.  Weakening should begin after the center moves inland on
Saturday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
primarily to the east and southeast of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure reported by reconnaissance
aircraft is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Fay can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC.

RAINFALL:  Fay is expected to produce 3 to 5 inches of rain along
and near the track of Fay across the mid-Atlantic states into
southeast New York and southern New England. These rains may result
in flash flooding where the heaviest amounts occur.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area on Friday and spread northward
through the warning area Friday night.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown
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