[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 091131
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased overnight in
association with an area of low pressure located about 60 miles east
of Wilmington, North Carolina.  The thunderstorm activity is
currently located well east and northeast of the low's center, but
only a small increase in organization or a reformation of the
center closer to the thunderstorm activity could result in the
formation of a tropical or subtropical cyclone later today or
tonight.  The low is expected to move northeastward or
north-northeastward near or just offshore of the North Carolina
Outer Banks later today and then along the mid-Atlantic coast
tonight through Friday night.

Regardless of development, the system is expected to produce
locally heavy rainfall that could cause some flash flooding across
portions of eastern North Carolina, the coastal mid-Atlantic, and
southern New England during the next few days. Gusty winds are also
possible along the North Carolina Outer Banks today, and along
the mid-Atlantic and southern New England coasts Friday and
Saturday.  Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of
this system and refer to products from your local National Weather
Service office.  An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is
scheduled to investigate this system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown
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