[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Sep 28 15:39:22 CDT 2019


WTNT33 KNHC 282039
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Lorenzo Advisory Number  25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132019
500 PM AST Sat Sep 28 2019

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS THAT LORENZO HAS
RESTRENGTHENED INTO A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.3N 45.0W
ABOUT 1470 MI...2365 KM SW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Azores should monitor the progress of Lorenzo.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Lorenzo was located
near latitude 23.3 North, longitude 45.0 West.  Lorenzo is moving
toward the north near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue through tonight.  A turn toward the
north-northeast is forecast on Sunday, followed by a faster motion
toward the northeast beginning Monday or Tuesday.  On the forecast
track, the center of Lorenzo will be approaching the Azores on
Tuesday.

Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum
sustained winds have increased to near 130 mph (215 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Lorenzo is a category 4 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Fluctuations in intensity are
possible during the next day or so.  Lorenzo is expected to
gradually weaken through Tuesday, but it will remain a large and
potent hurricane while it approaches the Azores.

Lorenzo is a large hurricane.  Hurricane-force winds extend outward
up to 50 miles (85 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force
winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km).

The minimum central pressure based on data from the plane is 950 mb
(28.06 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Lorenzo are affecting portions of the
northeastern coast of South America and the Lesser Antilles and are
expected to spread westward to portions of the north coasts of the
Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the east coast of the
United States during the next few days.  Swells are also expected
to build near the Azores on Sunday and Monday.  These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg
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