[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 240011
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-240815-

Tropical Depression Karen Local Statement
Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
National Weather Service San Juan PR  AL122019
811 PM AST Mon Sep 23 2019

This product covers PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS

**DISORGANIZED KAREN EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS
TO PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON TUESDAY**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Puerto Rico and the
      U.S. Virgin Islands.

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 160 miles south-southeast of Ponce PR or about 140 miles
      south-southwest of Saint Croix VI
    - 15.8N 65.7W
    - Storm Intensity 35 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 335 degrees at 13 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Karen continues to move northward across the Eastern Caribbean sea
this evening. The center of Karen is still forecast to approach the
local islands, passing over Puerto Rico on Tuesday. That said, rain
bands associated with Karen are expected to start affecting the
region tonight into early Tuesday morning, continuing through
Wednesday. Also, tropical storm force winds mainly in gust could
begin to affect portions of the Caribbean waters from late tonight
into early Tuesday morning. Based on the latest forecast track, the
eastern and southern sections of Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra, and
the U.S. Virgin Islands, including mountainous terrain, are likely
to experience the highest rainfall amounts. Marine conditions will
deteriorate from late tonight and should last through at least
Wednesday.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across portions of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin
Islands. Potential impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and
      ditches may become dangerous rivers. In mountain areas,
      destructive runoff may run quickly down valleys while
      increasing susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood
      control systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts particularly across eastern and southern Puerto
Rico, including mountainous terrain, Vieques, Culebra, and the U.S.
Virgin Islands.

* WIND:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across PUERTO RICO
AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* SURGE:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across PUERTO RICO
AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across PUERTO RICO
AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

If you are exceptionally vulnerable to wind or water hazards from
tropical systems, consider voluntary evacuation, especially if being
officially recommended. Relocate to a predetermined shelter or safe
destination.

If evacuating away from the area or relocating to a nearby shelter,
leave early before weather conditions become hazardous.

Do not return to evacuated areas until it is safe. Listen for the all-
clear signal from local authorities.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Visitors to the area should become familiar with nearby surroundings.
If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which
you are located and where it is relative to current watches and
warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their
onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially
pertaining to area visitors.

Closely monitor NOAA Weather radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to
the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in San Juan PR around 11 PM AST, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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