[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT35 KNHC 231751
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Jerry Intermediate Advisory Number 25A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102019
200 PM AST Mon Sep 23 2019

...JERRY BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.3N 68.2W
ABOUT 345 MI...550 KM SW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jerry was
located near latitude 28.3 North, longitude 68.2 West.  Jerry is
moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this
general motion should continue today.  A turn to the north is
expected tonight followed by a turn to the northeast on Tuesday.
On the forecast track, the center of Jerry is expected to pass near
Bermuda by Tuesday night or early Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual weakening is expected during the next few days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Jerry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda by late
Tuesday.

RAINFALL:  Jerry is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rainfall
across Bermuda through Wednesday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Jerry are beginning to increase along
the coast of Bermuda, and they will continue to affect the island
during the next few days.  Swells will affect portions of the
northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico for another day or so.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch
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