[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT35 KNHC 230530
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Jerry Intermediate Advisory Number 23A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102019
200 AM AST Mon Sep 23 2019

...JERRY MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.5N 67.5W
ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jerry was
located near latitude 27.5 North, longitude 67.5 West. Jerry is
moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this
general motion should continue today.  A turn to the north is
expected Monday night followed by a turn to the northeast on
Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Jerry is expected to
pass near Bermuda by Tuesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual weakening is expected during the next few days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Jerry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area by late Tuesday.

RAINFALL:  Jerry is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rainfall
across Bermuda through Wednesday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Jerry are beginning to increase along
the coast of Bermuda, and they will continue to affect the island
during the next few days.  Swells will affect portions of the
northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico for another day or so.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Blake
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