[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 18 21:57:14 CDT 2019


WTNT31 KWNH 190257
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Imelda Advisory Number   7
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL112019
1000 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2019

...IMELDA MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWEST...
...HEAVY RAINS AND THE THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING CONTINUE
TO SPREAD INLAND OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.2N 94.9W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM NNE OF HOUSTON TEXAS
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM ENE OF COLLEGE STATION TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

Flash flood watches are in effect for parts of eastern Texas and
extreme southwest Louisiana.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Imelda
was located near latitude 31.2 North, longitude 94.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h).
Imelda should continue to move slowly northwest with only a slight
acceleration late on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast through the day on Thursday
before weakening Thursday night and eventually dissipating on
Friday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Imelda is expected to produce the following rainfall
amounts through Friday:

Across the Upper Texas Coast into the Piney Woods of eastern
Texas...additional 5 to 10 inches of rain with isolated storm totals
of 20 to 25 inches.

Across portions of southwest Louisiana...4 to 8 inches with isolated
totals of 10 inches.

These rainfall totals may produce significant to life threatening
flash floods.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Bann

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  19/0300Z 31.2N  94.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 12H  19/1200Z 31.6N  95.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 24H  20/0000Z 32.0N  95.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 36H  20/1200Z 33.0N  97.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...INLAND
 48H  21/0000Z...DISSIPATED
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