[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 18 03:32:44 CDT 2019


WTNT31 KWNH 180832
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Imelda Advisory Number   4
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL112019
400 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2019

...IMELDA MOVING FARTHER INLAND...
...HEAVY RAINS AND SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING WILL SPREAD
INLAND OVER EASTERN TEXAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.0N 95.6W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NNW OF HOUSTON TEXAS
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SE OF COLLEGE STATION TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

Flash flood watches are in effect for southeast Texas and
extreme southwest Louisiana.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Imelda
was located near latitude 30.0 North, longitude 95.6 West. The
depression is moving toward the north near 5 mph (7 km/h) and this
motion is expected to continue over the next couple of days with a
slight turn to the north-northwest.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Imelda is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 6 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 18
inches across portions of eastern Texas, including the
Houston and Galveston areas.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Roth

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  18/0900Z 30.0N  95.6W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  18/1800Z 30.8N  95.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 24H  19/0600Z 31.7N  95.8W   20 KT  25 MPH...INLAND
 36H  19/1800Z 32.9N  96.1W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  20/0600Z 34.2N  96.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  21/0600Z...DISSIPATED

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