[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT35 KNHC 080839
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BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Advisory Number  61
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052019
500 AM AST Sun Sep 08 2019

...POWERFUL DORIAN HEADING TOWARD NEWFOUNDLAND...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...48.5N 61.1W
ABOUT 80 MI...135 KM W OF CAPE ST GEORGE NEWFOUNDLAND
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM NNE OF MADGALEN ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Canadian Hurricane Center has discontinued all warnings for
Nova Scotia west of Ecum Secum on the southern coast and west of
Brule along the northern coast.  All warnings have also been
discontinued for New Brunswick.  The Hurricane Watch for Prince
Edward Island has also been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Eastern Nova Scotia from Ecum Secum to Brule
* Western Newfoundland from Indian Harbour to Hawke's Bay

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Magdalen Islands

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Prince Edward Island
* Magdalen Islands
* Stone's Cove to Indian Harbour
* Hawke's Bay to Fogo Island
* Mutton Bay to Mary's Harbour

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian
was located near latitude 48.5 North, longitude 61.1 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northeast near 26
mph (43 km/h), and this general motion with a turn to the northeast
is expected during the next couple of days.  On this track, Dorian
will be moving near or over western Newfoundland later today and
then enter the North Atlantic this evening.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts.  These winds are occurring mainly over water.  The post-
tropical cyclone is forecast to drop below hurricane strength after
passing Newfoundland later today.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345
miles (555 km).  A sustained wind of 62 mph (100 km/h) with a gust
to 79 mph (128 km/h) was recently reported at Heath Point on
Anticosti Island.  A wind gust to 69 mph (109 km/h) was recently
observed at North Mountain in Nova Scotia.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm and hurricane conditions are still occuring
over portions of Nova Scotia. Hurricane conditions are also expected
elsewhere in the Hurricane Warning area in Newfoundland today.
Hurricane conditions are also possible in the Hurricane Watch area
through this morning.  Tropical storm conditions are expected in the
Tropical Storm Warning area today.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is likely in the Gulf of St.
Lawrence, the Southwest Coast of Newfoundland, and Eastern Nova
Scotia.

RAINFALL:  Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall
totals through tonight:

New Brunswick...2 to 4 inches
Newfoundland and far eastern Quebec...1 to 2 inches

These rainfall amounts could result in flash flooding.

SURF:  Large swells are affecting the coast of Atlantic Canada, and
they will continue to affect that area during the next few days.
Swells along the mid-Atlantic and New England coasts of the U.S.
will continue for another day or so.  These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown
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