[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Dorian Local Statement Intermediate Advisory Number 48A
National Weather Service Raleigh NC  AL052019
1000 AM EDT Thu Sep 5 2019

This product covers central North Carolina

**HURRICANE DORIAN IMPACTING THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Cumberland,
      Edgecombe, Franklin, Halifax, Harnett, Hoke, Johnston, Nash,
      Sampson, Scotland, Wake, Wayne, and Wilson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 260 miles south of Raleigh NC or about 200 miles south of
      Fayetteville NC
    - 32.1N 79.3W
    - Storm Intensity 115 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 15 degrees at 8 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Dorian will be impacting central North Carolina
through Friday afternoon. Storm total rainfall amounts of 4 to 8
inches with locally higher amounts can be expected mainly along and
east of Interstate 95. Between U.S. Highway 1 and Interstate 95
storm totals of 1 to 4 inches will be possible. This rainfall could
result in flash flooding, particularly in low-lying and poor
drainage areas, and subsequent river flooding. In addition,
sustained winds of 30 to 40 mph, with gusts up to 60 mph across the
Coastal Plain and Sandhills can be expected. Winds of this magnitude
combined with saturated soils will result in scattered downed trees
and power lines. Isolated tornadoes are possible within rainbands.
Impacts will decrease markedly to the west of US Highway 1.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across the Coastal Plain of North Carolina.
Potential impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, and ditches may become
      dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become
      stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible limited
to significant impacts across the interior of North Carolina.

* WIND:
Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across the Coastal Plain and Sandhills of North Carolina. Potential
impacts in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across the Piedmont of North Carolina.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
the southeastern Coastal Plain. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, mobile homes
      pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and
      branches snapped off, and shallow-rooted trees knocked over.

Elsewhere across central North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep
roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

If evacuating, follow designated evacuation routes. Seek traffic
information on roadway signs, the radio, and from official sources.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any
orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency
Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are
unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see readync.org
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Raleigh NC around 12 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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