[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT42 KNHC 042033
TCDAT2

Tropical Depression Fernand Discussion Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072019
400 PM CDT Wed Sep 04 2019

Fernand moved inland a few hours ago, and the surface center is
already showing signs of becoming poorly defined. The intensity is
now estimated at 30 kt, assuming weakening has occurred since the
cyclone moved inland. This makes Fernand a Tropical Depression. The
depression should move westward or west-northwestward for the next
12 h or so while it continues to weaken, and it could dissipate as
soon as tonight.

Although the winds have decreased and the depression will likely
dissipate soon, Fernand is still producing substantial convection
and continues to pose a significant rain threat to northeast Mexico.
Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides will be possible through
Thursday, even after Fernand dissipates. Please consult products
from you local weather service for more information on the potential
rainfall hazard.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  04/2100Z 24.4N  98.3W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  05/0600Z 25.0N 100.0W   25 KT  30 MPH
 24H  05/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky
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