[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Dorian Local Statement Advisory Number 45
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL  AL052019
1121 AM EDT Wed Sep 4 2019

This product covers Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia

**TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS OF COASTAL
NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Hurricane Warning has been cancelled and a Tropical Storm
      Warning has been issued for Coastal Flagler, Coastal St. Johns,
      Inland Flagler, and Inland St. Johns

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Coastal Flagler, Coastal St. Johns, and Inland Glynn
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Brantley, Clay,
      Inland Camden, Inland Duval, Inland Flagler, Inland Nassau,
      Inland St. Johns, Northeastern Charlton, Putnam, and Wayne
    - A Storm Surge Warning, Tropical Storm Warning, and Hurricane
      Watch are in effect for Coastal Camden, Coastal Duval, Coastal
      Glynn, and Coastal Nassau

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 110 miles east-southeast of Jacksonville FL or about 100
      miles east of St. Augustine FL
    - 29.8N 79.7W
    - Storm Intensity 105 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 335 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Dorian remains a Category 2 hurricane with peak winds of 105
mph and higher gusts. Dorian continues to move slowly to the north-northwest,
and that continues this evening. Tropical storm winds of at least 39 mph
are spreading northward across parts of coastal northeast Florida and coastal
southeast Georgia. Outer rainbands are capable of producing torrential
rainfall and gusts to around 50 mph.

Dorian will also bring a threat of storm surge flooding, periods of
heavy rainfall, and large battering waves to the coast. Significant to
severe beach erosion will be likely for the beaches, with the worst
conditions generally from Ponte Vedra southward.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
the beaches of northeast Florida and southeast Georgia. Remain well
away from life-threatening surge having significant impacts. If
realized, these impacts include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having impacts in and
around Satsuma, San Mateo, Welaka, and Palatka along the St Johns
River Basin.

Elsewhere across Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
eastern parts of northeast Florida and coastal southeast Georgia.
Remain well sheltered from dangerous wind having additional impacts. If
realized, these impacts include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Potential impacts from the main wind event are also now unfolding
across inland areas adjacent to coastal northeast Florida and southeast
Georgia.. Remain well sheltered from hazardous wind having limited impacts.

Elsewhere across Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
coastal northeast Florida and coastal southeast Georgia. Remain well
guarded against dangerous flood waters having possible impacts.
If realized, these impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Elsewhere across Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia, little to
no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Do not enter evacuated areas until officials have given the all
clear to return.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for
updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a
battery-powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.

During the peak of the storm be ready to move quickly. Keep your
shoes on and rain gear handy. Boots and athletic shoes offer the best
foot protection if you become unexpectedly exposed to the weather.

Keep your cell phone charged and in power-saving mode. If you lose
power, use it sparingly and mainly for personal emergencies and
check-ins.

Do not venture outside while in the eye of a hurricane as any
improvement in weather will only be temporary. Once the eye passes,
conditions will become life threatening as winds immediately return
to dangerous speeds, so remain safely sheltered from the storm.

Do not be a thrill seeker or risk your life for senseless photos or
videos.

Quickly move to the safest place within your shelter if it begins to
fail, preferably an interior room on the lowest floor as long as
flooding is not a concern.

If you are prone to flooding or in an area under a storm surge watch
or warning, be prepared for the possibility of a quick and dramatic
rise in water levels.

If a tornado warning is issued for your area, quickly move to the
safest place within your shelter. Protect your head and body.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Jacksonville FL around 6 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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