[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KRAH 040912
HLSRAH
NCZ011-027-028-042-043-077-078-085-086-088-089-041715-

Hurricane Dorian Local Statement Advisory Number 44
National Weather Service Raleigh NC  AL052019
512 AM EDT Wed Sep 4 2019

This product covers central North Carolina

**HURRICANE DORIAN EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY
MORNING**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Cumberland, Edgecombe,
      Halifax, Harnett, Hoke, Johnston, Nash, Sampson, Scotland,
      Wayne, and Wilson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 460 miles south of Raleigh NC or about 400 miles south of
      Fayetteville NC
    - 29.2N 79.5W
    - Storm Intensity 105 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 330 degrees at 8 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Dorian will impact central North Carolina Thursday into
Friday morning. Storm total rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches with
locally higher amounts can be expected mainly along and east of
Interstate 95. This rainfall could result in flash flooding,
particularly in low-lying and poor drainage areas, and subsequent
river flooding. In addition, sustained winds of 30 to 40 mph, with
gusts up to 60 mph across the Coastal Plain and Sandhills can be
expected. Winds of this magnitude combined with saturated soils will
result in scattered downed trees and power lines. Impacts will
decrease markedly to the west of US Highway 1.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across the Coastal Plain of North Carolina.
Potential impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, and ditches may become
      dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become
      stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across the interior of North Carolina.

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
the Coastal Plain and Sandhills of North Carolina. Potential impacts
in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Also, prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across the Piedmont of North Carolina.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across the
southeastern Coastal Plain. Potential impacts include:
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and
      communications disruptions.

Elsewhere across central North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

** EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep
roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

If evacuating, follow designated evacuation routes. Seek traffic
information on roadway signs, the radio, and from official sources.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of strong
gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness activities to
become unsafe.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see readync.org
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Raleigh NC around 11 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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