[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Oct 31 21:32:59 CDT 2019
WTNT44 KNHC 010232
TCDAT4
Subtropical Storm Rebekah Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192019
1100 PM AST Thu Oct 31 2019
Rebekah's cloud pattern consists of a tight swirl of low clouds,
but most of the deep convection vanished a few hours ago. A recent
ASCAT pass still shows a well defined circulation with winds
of 35 kt. Consequently, the initial intensity has been lowered to
35 kt in this advisory. Assuming that the convection, as
anticipated does not return, Rebekah will become post-tropical
cyclone soon and will likely dissipate in 24 hours or sooner. The
cyclone is forecast to move eastward with the mid-latitude flow and
as indicated by track models.
Hazard information for the Azores can be found in regular products
issued by the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA)
for those islands at
https://www.ipma.pt/pt/index.html.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 01/0300Z 40.8N 31.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 01/1200Z 40.5N 27.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Avila
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