[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT44 KNHC 311434
TCDAT4

Subtropical Storm Rebekah Discussion Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL192019
1100 AM AST Thu Oct 31 2019

The storm has lost organization since yesterday with only a skeletal
curved band west and north of the center.  However, ASCAT just came
in with 35-40 kt winds, so the initial wind speed will stay 40 kt.
Weakening is anticipated today as the low moves over cool waters and
into a convergent environment aloft.  All of the guidance shows any
remaining convection dissipating by this evening, so the storm will
likely be in the graveyard in about 12 h. A general eastward track
is forecast until Rebekah decomposes into a trough sometime
tomorrow, at best becoming a wave along an approaching cold front.

Since Rebekah is not expected to be a tropical or subtropical
cyclone near the Azores, hazard information can be found in regular
products issued by the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and
Atmosphere (IPMA) for those islands at
https://www.ipma.pt/pt/index.html.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  31/1500Z 40.7N  35.3W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  01/0000Z 41.1N  32.1W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 24H  01/1200Z 41.0N  27.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  02/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake
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