[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Oct 26 03:36:21 CDT 2019


WTNT33 KNHC 260836
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Pablo Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182019
500 AM AST Sat Oct 26 2019

...PABLO EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE AZORES TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.3N 30.3W
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 110 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Pablo was
located near latitude 35.3 North, longitude 30.3 West. Pablo is
moving toward the east-southeast near 9 mph (15 km/h).  A turn to
the east is expected this morning, followed by a faster
northeastward or north-northeastward motion later today and
Sunday. On  the forecast track, the small core of Pablo will pass
near or over the Azores tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
No significant change in strength is anticipated, and Pablo is
expected to become an extratropical cyclone in a day or two.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Since Pablo is embedded within a large extratropical low, which
itself is forecast to bring strong winds to the Azores, the
Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) has included
the effects of this small cyclone in their products.  Those products
already account for the strong winds and high waves.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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